Is Keyword Discovery Suggesting the Wrong Keywords?

Posted on May 4, 2009

Part of the job as an in-house SEO is to educate and train employees throughout the company as to the in’s and out’s of SEO.  We need to teach them all about the craft and how the work they do on a daily basis impacts our rankings, traffic, and SEO performance.

When working with members of the editorial and production staff we need to incorporate content optimization and keyword research training into the mix.  We teach these employees that one of the first steps when dealing with a new piece of content is to turn to a keyword research tool to determine the best possible keywords to use in each of the page elements.  We then teach them how to optimize each element on the page that they are responsible for.  When they have questions regarding the topic of the page or the best keyword to use we ask them to turn to the keyword research tools.  Is it a 1967 Mustang or a ’67 Mustang?  Let the data be your guide.   Let our users decide how you tag the content.  While we have subscriptions to both KeywordDiscovery.com and WordTracker.com we suggest that our staff utilize the former due its larger database, user friendly interface and tools, and API availability. On any given day there may be 100 people in our company turning to KeywordDiscovery.com (KD) to tell them what keywords are best suited for the content they are producing.

As one would imagine, this heavy reliance on third party tools can cause problems. On numerous occasions we have come across data that makes you shake your head and say “WTF?”.  There will always be the occasional gibberish keyword like “pne qrnyre” showing up in your results but after using KD for awhile you get used to skimming those instances.  In some cases the data issues can’t be seen until you dig a bit deeper or compare against other datasets.  Stay with me…

Search Engine Market Share

As I mentioned before one of the positive aspects to KD is that it provides users with a number of different tools and ways to view the data.  One of them being the “Market Share” view which is available by clicking on the pie chart icon next to each listing.  In theory this is pretty cool data.  For example, I can look at the number of searches for the keyword “movies” and then find out the distribution of those queries across the major search engines.  The pie chart looks good right?

Movies Keyword SE Market Share

Movies Keyword SE Market Share

This is great…when it works.

As I mentioned before, most of our internal SEO projects start with keyword research. One of our SEO team members delivered a project to me that focused on the keyword “auto dealers” as opposed to “car dealers” or “car dealerships”.  To his credit he did everything right.  He researched all of the possible keyword variations and the data suggested that “auto dealers” was a far better keyword than any other alternative.  Currently KD shows “auto dealers” with 35,227 searches and “car dealers” with 5,668 searches.  No brainer, right?

Maybe because I am cynical that people really say “auto” or “automobile” instead of “car”, or for some other fortuitous reason, I clicked on the market share icon for this keyword. As you can see in the pie chart below KD suggests that almost 72% of the searches for this keyword are conducted on Ask.com. My apologies to the folks over at Ask.com, but this pie chart tells me the data is incorrect. Due to Ask.com’s non-existent traffic I have to take the original number of 35,227 and cut it back by 72% to account for the inflated numbers which leaves us with 10,568 searches for this keyword. Still “auto dealers” has double the amount of “car dealers” searches but we know from our own referral data that this isn’t correct as the latter produces far more referrals than the former.

Auto Dealers Keyword SE Market Share

Auto Dealers Keyword SE Market Share

Is the problem widespread or specific to this keyword? I pulled the market share graph for a few more keywords in various markets and got mixed results. For some keywords like “life insurance” and “car insurance” the Ask.com numbers are inflated but for others like “movies”, “Christmas”, and “auto insurance” the percentages are normal.

Christmas Keyword SE Market Share

Christmas Keyword SE Market Share

Life Insurance Keyword SE Market Share

Life Insurance Keyword SE Market Share

Auto Insurance Keyword SE Market Share

Auto Insurance Keyword SE Market Share

Car Insurance Keyword SE Market Share

Car Insurance Keyword SE Market Share

Trending Data

Are the market share issues a concern or just bugs in the system? Does it point to bad data? Without KD giving me the keys to look under the hood I can’t know for sure, but another one of their cool views gives us some more insight into this. If you click the bar graph icon next to each keyword result in KD it displays a nice twelve month trend graph. For certain keywords like “Christmas” it can show valuable trending data that will help explain traffic patterns and help you plan out your marketing, PPC, and SEO campaigns.

Christmas Keyword Yearly Trend

Christmas Keyword Yearly Trend

But for others the results are odd. For example, when I pull the view for the keyword “car dealer” it shows me the graph below. I’m sure you notice the extreme spike between June and July. This to me seems like bad data that should’ve been omitted from their results.

Car Dealer Keyword Yearly Trend

Car Dealer Keyword Yearly Trend

Maybe there was a spike of activity due to something in the news? Or maybe seasonality factored in? If we trust Google Insight and Google Trends to provide accurate data than the answer would be no as you can see in the graph below and also here and here.

Car Dealer Keyword Google Trends

Car Dealer Keyword Google Trends

And when we run some more queries we see more of the same unnatural, irregular spikes in the trends. See below.

Health Insurance Keyword Yearly Trend

Health Insurance Keyword Yearly Trend

Auto Insurance Keyword Yearly Trend

Auto Insurance Keyword Yearly Trend

Life Insurance Keyword Yearly Trend

Life Insurance Keyword Yearly Trend

KD claims that the Global Premium DB, the source of these graphs and aforementioned data, is impervious to bots. Is it?

Premium and Regional Keyword Databases

If you are looking for clean and pure search results without skews caused by automated web agents (rank checkers), Keyword Discovery offers a number of Global Premium Keyword Databases. The Global Premium database contains over 4.4 billion keyword searches, based purely on user panel data. The Global Premium database is also used to create the many regional and language specific keyword databases. (read more here)

Keywords Misrepresented

Another thing I’ve noticed is that keywords can often be under represented in their database. To KD’s credit they have a disclaimer in their FAQ section to cover this.

Why are there differences in the Keyword Discovery search results compared to actual organic traffic results?

Keyword Discovery’s search counts differ from actual search results as we collect only a percentage of all searches done on the Internet. The search counts that we provide are best used as a comparison to other search terms in our database. You should treat Keyword Discovery’s search counts as a rank, not actual total search volume.

The potential problem lies with how far off the numbers are and how it is interpreted by those using the data. Like I mentioned way back at the top of this article the people using KD on a daily basis at our company ranges from Senior SEO Specialist to the Assisted Content Product with minimal SEO and keyword research knowledge. The novice has been taught to seek the best possible keywords for the content they are producing. So if a keyword shows up in KD with 5 or 10 searches it may be dismissed.

Here is a small snapshot of KD data compared against actual organic search referrals. As you can see the numbers are quite different. Take the bottom result for example. You can see that KD has 97 searches for this keyword phrase in its DB over a 12 month period and they predict roughly 5 searches per day. With our #1 ranking in Google it produced 4,000 referrals in the month of March and roughly 100 referrals on one Monday in April.

Keyword Discovery & Referral Data Comparison

Keyword Discovery & Referral Data Comparison

Equally impressive is the difference with the third from last keyword. KD shows it with only 146 searches over a 12 month time span and predicts 8 searches per day. Our data in Omniture shows us that this keyword phrase produced almost 10,000 referrals in March, the second highest out of this small group, and roughly 120 referrals for a single Monday in April.

So What’s the Point?

I’m not telling you to stop using Keyword Discovery, Word Tracker, or any other keyword research tool. I’m merely pointing out that there are flaws in the data and you need to dig deep in order to uncover some of them. In addition, when using these tools for keyword research it is important that you factor in your own common sense, competitor research, and knowledge in the space. If we had strictly used KD data to determine our keyword targeting we may have lost out on the thousands of users represented in the table above. Sure glad we didn’t.

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12 Responses to “Is Keyword Discovery Suggesting the Wrong Keywords?”

  1. Eric Lander
    May 05, 2009

    Excellent post here Andrew, glad you’re blogging again.

    These tools (Wordtracker, KeywordDiscovery and the sort) have always been suspect in my eyes. I’ve never been able to justify their value enough to acquire my own subscription, always leaving it for whomever demands a research tool.

    In a national search industry where Google and their search databases dominate, I find Insights for Search, Google Suggest and Google Trends to be just as helpful as these “premium” services.

    Great examples and analysis here, too. Hope to see more posts in the future!


  2. agerhart
    May 05, 2009

    Thanks!

    I find Google Insights and Trends helpful BUT:

    - They don’t offer any sort of metrics with them. Sure the keyword is trending upwards but how many searches were performed last month? Or this year?
    - There are no tools. A user can’t create or save lists. Or easily dig deeper within keyword sets.

    I think that keyword research services like Keyword Discovery and Word Tracker are useful and serve a purpose but they can’t be trusted blindly. I am confident that we’ll continue to use it because it is helpful as a guide, especially for people with limited SEO knowledge. If you don’t offer them an easy to use tool that offers suggestions they will go back to their old ways of either a) selecting randomly based on their opinion, or b) not doing anything.


  3. Jesper Åström
    May 05, 2009

    Really well written post.

    I would however like to take the disucssion one step further. As the de-institutionalization of the web increase in pace. How is the way we use keywords effected?

    Up until this point in time. We’ve set the keywords on our website. Enter semantics and linked data -> it is the association our users get from our webpages that creates what are “really” on them. Ie. how search engines and other users interpret our data.

    I am not at all ready with these thoughts, but you seem to be at the keyword analysis topic and so I ask for your opinion. How do you think that the changes in web coherency to user associations will effect how we analyze keyword data in the future?

    //Jesper


  4. Thanks for your post Andrew. This article is being retweeted like crazy on Twitter.

    I agree with you that there are flaws with keyword research tools, but unfortunately this is all we have right now. As SEO professionals within these circumstances, it our role to be able to decipher what is real and what isn’t and then communicate that back to our colleagues and clients. SEO is still both a science and an art.

    I do recommend to people that it is good practice to use a variety of keyword research tools. There are differences with each, but they all contribute to defining a SEO strategy for your website.

    thanks again
    Jacqui


  5. agerhart
    May 07, 2009

    @Jesper

    Interesting thought. I suppose those interactions and interpretations of our data could allow us to reoptimize our sites or retag existing content, but you still need these services as a starting point.

    @Jacqui

    Thanks! I agree completely. Although there are flaws in the system we will continue to use them…we just need to be cognizant of their existence.


  6. Raghavan
    May 07, 2009

    Gr8 and certainly have to agree with the datas. We cannot completely rely on the KD tools stats to finalize keywords, we need to do research more than that. As @agerhart pointed out insights and trends are useful but even there they give you stats only for a competitive search terms. You need to wise before finalizing kws since if you go wrong here then the entire process will be failure.


  7. SEO Doctor
    May 07, 2009

    I signed up to wordtracker after reading all the top SEOs use this software. I was suprised how poor the results are. The total number of searches are supposed to reflect closely those of the search engines - they don’t. Googles keyword tools (though ppc related) are much better and free.


  8. dave
    May 07, 2009

    ” occasional gibberish keyword like “pne qrnyre” ”

    This line made me laugh , pne is the abbreviation for our much loved football club Preston North End.. :) what the other part of the query is I dont know? Maybe a player from another country that the club is looking at.


  9. Bill Cook
    May 07, 2009

    It seems to me you might have avoided all that trouble if you used a better keyword research tool. My tool of choice is Google’s: https://adwords.google.com/select/KeywordToolExternal

    If you research ‘auto dealers’ and ‘car dealers’ you see right away that ‘car dealers’ has more searches and many more high volume variations than ‘auto dealers’.


  10. iGoMogul
    May 07, 2009

    In our experience doing keyword research, we have found WordTracker to be fairly incompetent. It is often hard to find any results at all, and the database feels fairly limited. The new WordTracker keyword tool does seem to be working better than the previous iteration, however. We have found it fairly difficult to sort through the various keyword research tools to figure out which one gives the most reliable data. The Google Adwords Keyword tool does appear to give the most useful results, but it doesn’t work with SEOMoz’s Keyword Difficulty tool to our knowledge.

    Andrew @ iGoMogul


  11. Nick Stamoulis
    May 08, 2009

    SEO is one of those areas that with time you will understand what to look out for and what means what. It does take time and most important, experience.


  12. [...] In-depth review of Keyword Discovery [...]



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